Barometer energie maart

Piek in stijging energietarieven 

De gasprijzen voor consumenten stegen. De stroomprijzen laten een gemengd beeld zien. Toch blijkt uit de gegevens van het CBS dat ondanks de toegenomen inflatie in februari, energie (inclusief benzine en diesel), bijna 2 procent goedkoper is dan een jaar geleden. Ook de eerste opkomende lentedagen zullen invloed hebben op het energieverbruik en daarmee de energierekening. In deze barometer een overzicht van de gemiddelde energietarieven op maand- en jaarbasis.  

Gasprijzen 30 procent hoger dan een jaar geleden 

De gasprijzen toonde de afgelopen maand een opwaartse beweging. Variabele gasprijzen stegen met 2,4 procent, terwijl de tarieven voor vaste contracten (1 en 3 jaar) met 5,6 procent en 3,6 procent toenamen.  

Op jaarbasis zijn de verschillen aanzienlijk groter: de variabele tarieven liggen 31 procent hoger, terwijl actuele vaste contracten een stijging van gemiddeld 36 procent (1 jaar) en 30 procent (3 jaar) laten zien.   

De verhoging wordt vooral gedreven door een stijging van de groothandelsgasprijzen in combinatie met de fluctuatie daarvan op de inkoopmarkten ook vanwege de lage gasreserves én de eerdere koudere winterweken. 

Hans de Kok, directeur van prijsvergelijker Pricewise: “De energierekening zelfis weer verder gestegen afgelopen maand. Er zijn veel achterliggende oorzaken zoals de fluctuaties en de hoge prijsniveaus voor de inkoop van gas. Die inkoop heeft weerslag op de inkoopprijs van stroom (ten gevolge van productie op gas). Resulterend in de hogere m3 en kWh-prijs die we in februari zien.”

Grafiek gas 

Kopieer hier de code voor gas

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Stroomtarieven geven gemengd beeld 

In februari 2025 zagen we opnieuw een verschillende beweging in stroomprijzen. Variabele stroomtarieven daalden met 3,3 procent ten opzichte van januari 2025. Daarentegen kenden vaste prijs contracten een maand-op-maand stijging: eenjarig met 6,1 procent en driejarig met 1,6 procent.  

Jaar-op-jaar is de stroomprijs momenteel hoger voor variabele contracten (17,1 procent) en contracten met vaste prijzen voor korte looptijd (8,3 procent). De vaste prijs contracten voor 3 jaar zijn voordeliger dan een jaar geleden (-8,4procent).  

Jilles van den Beukel, onafhankelijk energie-analist: “De gasprijs heeft een relatief grote invloed op de stroomprijs. De geleidelijke stijging van de gasprijs, die we al in een groot deel van 2024 zagen, zette in het vierde kwartaal van 2024 en begin 2025 verder door. Dunkelflautes (periodes met weinig zon en wind), waarin de elektriciteitsproductie uit zon en wind laag is, leidden tot een relatief hoge gasvraag voor elektriciteit.”

Grafiek stroom

Kopieer hier de code voor stroom

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Wat kunnen we verwachten in maart? 

Energieleverancier Essent heeft per 1 april een daling van zijn variabele stroomprijs van 8 procent aangekondigd.  

Ook worden de dagen langer, de zon krachtiger en de buitentemperatuur naar verwachting een stuk hoger waardoor men minder zal gaan stoken en zonnepanelen meer stroom zullen opwekken.   

Variabel contract of toch vastzetten? 

De prijzen voor gas en stroom blijven hoog en beweeglijk. Het beste lijkt daarom om een relatief scherp geprijsd vast contract voor kortere duur te kiezen met een goede bonus. De verschillen in aanbod blijven groot en dat biedt keuze. Je kunt ook kiezen voor een variabele prijs om zo flexibel te blijven en later dit jaar in te stappen op een vast contract met lagere prijzen.Op deze manier houd je de stijgende energierekening in toom.

Bekijk de interactieve grafieken via onze website. 

• Bio
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Letizia Luijs

PR-manager. Verhalenverteller. Nieuwsjager. Drinkt graag kopjes koffie met journalisten.

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