Gas goedkoper, stroomprijzen stabiel
Aardgas is in maart voor consumenten goedkoper geworden, terwijl stroomprijzen stabiel blijven. Dat blijkt uit cijfers van prijsvergelijker Pricewise.
Gasprijzen dalen, maar zijn nog steeds hoog
Er lijkt een eind te zijn gekomen aan de stijging van actuele gasprijzen voor consumenten. Medio februari piekten de prijzen bij de vaste contracten, waarna ze begonnen aan een daling. Vooral het eenjarige contract vertoonde in maart een scherpe prijsval van 7,5 procent, waarmee het nu het goedkoopste gascontract is geworden. Het variabele contract is duurder na een prijsstijging van bijna 1 procent, terwijl het driejarig contract zich na een prijsdaling van 3,7 procent zich daar qua prijs net onder beweegt.
Dat betekent echter niet dat gas goedkoop is geworden. Vergeleken met een jaar geleden zijn de gascontracten alle drie fors duurder: het éénjarig contract is 34 procent duurder dan in maart 2024, terwijl de prijs voor een driejarig contract steeg met 31 procent. Het variabele gascontract is zelfs 39 procent duurder dan in maart 2024. Hierbij moet wel worden opgemerkt dat de consumenten gasprijzen een jaar geleden relatief laag waren, rond de 0,40 euro per kale kuub gas. Daar waar deze nu tussen de 0,50 en 0,55 euro per kale kuub gas liggen.
Ook op groothandelsmarkt
Jilles van den Beukel, onafhankelijk energie-analist: “De gasprijs voor de groothandel liep afgelopen winter geleidelijk op van 40 naar 55 euro per megawattuur. De winter was minder zacht dan afgelopen jaren en op 1 januari kwam er een einde aan de export van Russisch gas naar Europa door Oekraïne. Die was tot dan toe, zij het op een laag niveau, steeds doorgegaan. Midden februari is de prijs gaan dalen, en op dit moment schommelt die weer rond de 40 euro per megawattuur.”
“Europa schrijft voor dat de gasopslagen, die deze winter behoorlijk zijn leeggetrokken, komende zomer geleidelijk aan goed gevuld moeten worden om komende winter goed door te komen. Daarom blijft de gasprijs, althans op de korte termijn, relatief hoog. Voor de gascrisis van 2022 lag de groothandelsprijs meestal rond de 20 euro per megawattuur. De verwachting is dat de prijs komende jaren geleidelijk gaat dalen, omdat er meer LNG (vloeibaar gas, vooral uit de VS) op de markt komt. In de huidige, politiek onzekere wereld is dat zeker geen gegeven”, aldus Jilles.
Interactieve grafiek voor gas
Code voor interactieve grafiek gas
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Stroomprijzen dichter bij elkaar
De stroomprijzen zijn in afgelopen maand naar elkaar toe gegroeid. Opmerkelijk is dat het variabele stroomcontract na een prijsdaling van 7 procent in maart voor het eerst sinds een half jaar weer goedkoper is dan de vaste contracten met een contractduur van 1 en 3 jaar. De vaste éénjarige en driejarige contracten zijn ook in prijs gedaald, met 6,4 procent en 5,6 procent, maar de laatste dagen zijn ze weer licht gestegen.
De verschillen tussen de stroomcontracten zijn klein. Dat maakt het onderscheid moeilijker dan vorig jaar. Een jaar geleden was het driejarig vast contract voor stroom fors duurder dan het eenjarig contract. Het goedkoopst was destijds het variabele contract, waardoor dat een aantrekkelijker keuze bleek.
Interactieve grafiek voor stroom
Code voor interactieve grafiek stroom
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Overstappen om andere redenen
De tarieven voor variabele en vaste prijscontracten van stroom liggen dus niet zover uiteen, maar voor gas juist wel. Wie wil overstappen moet daar goed op letten. Er kunnen daarnaast andere redenen zijn om over te stappen, zoals promoties of bonussen.
Hans de Kok, directeur van Pricewise: “Ondanks dat in maart zo`n 15% minder oriëntatie plaatsvond voor energie ten opzichte van de maand ervoor en ruim 20% minder dan in maart een jaar geleden, stapten nog wel veel mensen over; zij kozen in grote mate voor vaste prijscontracten voor duur van 1 jaar, 3 procent meer dan in 2024.
Gelet op de beweeglijke inkoopmarkten, lage gasreserves en geopolitieke sferen, ligt een vasteprijscontract nog steeds voor de hand. Ook hierbij is het verstandig om een prijsvergelijker te raadplegen en te oriënteren voor het best passende en meest voordelige aanbod.