Pricewiser Oktober

De elektriciteitsprijzen voor kleinverbruikers zijn in oktober 2024 nauwelijks veranderd ten opzichte van september 2024. De variabele stroomprijzen zijn amper veranderd en ook de 1- en 3-jaars elektriciteitsprijzen zijn maar licht gedaald.

De inkoopprijzen voor gas op de groothandelsmarkt stegen de afgelopen week wel onverwachts, ook al hebben we voldoende gasvoorraad beschikbaar en was het relatief warm weer.

Stroom in oktober

De elektriciteitsprijzen bleven over het algemeen stabiel in oktober 2024. De stroomprijzen van de variabele contracten zijn met 1 procent gedaald en ook 1- en 3-jaars elektriciteitsprijzen daalden met 1,2 procent en 0,4 procent ten opzichte van september 2024.

Toch zijn de inkoopprijzen voor elektriciteit op de groothandelsmarkt de afgelopen week wel gestegen. Dit komt mede door een afname van de windenergie en de hogere emissieprijzen.

Stijging in inkoopprijzen gas

De inkoopprijzen voor gas zijn de hele maand oktober 2024 licht gedaald. Opvallend is dat ze vorige week onverwacht licht stegen. Dit lijkt in tegenspraak te zijn met de beschikbaarheid aan gas en het relatief warme weer. Deze kortstondige piek laat zien hoe gevoelig de gasmarkt is voor verstoringen en onzekerheden. Daarnaast stegen de groothandelsprijzen voor stroom afgelopen week aanzienlijk door de afname van windproductie en oplopende emissieprijzen.

LNG-import uit Rusland stijgt

Interessant is dat de LNG-import uit Rusland ook is gestegen (20 procent van het Europese totaal), ondanks de pogingen van de Europese Unie om deze afhankelijkheid te verminderen. Daarnaast wordt de gasprijs ook nog steeds beïnvloed door vertraging van de aanleg van nieuwe LNG-projecten, wat de langtermijnvoorziening onder druk kan zetten.

Verwachtingen november

De gasvoorraden zijn in Europa goed gevuld, wat voor enige ontspanning op de markt kan zorgen, ondanks de huidige onzekerheden. Minder wind en hogere emissiekosten zouden de elektriciteitsprijzen omhoog kunnen blijven duwen, ondanks een lichte toename in de nucleaire capaciteit en meer zonne-energie.

Grafiek elektriciteit

Kopieer hier de code voor elektriciteit

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Grafiek gas

Kopieer hier de code voor gas

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